Moneyline → Runline
Convert a moneyline to a runline play.
Read the win probability a moneyline implies, then size the −1.5 runline instead. The math is exact; the pricing judgment is yours.
Decimal odds
1.667
Implied win probability
60%
The runline asks the same team to win by two or more runs — a higher bar than the moneyline, so it pays more. There is no fixed price map between the two; the fair runline number depends on how often this matchup produces multi-run wins. Size the actual play with the runline calculator.
Moneyline and runline questions
- How do you convert a moneyline to a runline?
- Start from the moneyline’s implied win probability, then decide how the −1.5 runline is priced at your book. There is no universal formula: the runline demands a two-run win, and how often that happens depends on the matchup. Use the implied probability as the anchor and size the play with the runline calculator.
- What does a −150 moneyline imply?
- A −150 moneyline implies a 60% win probability before vig. The paired −1.5 runline pays more because it requires a win by two or more runs rather than a win by any margin.
- Is the runline always −1.5?
- In MLB and NHL the runline and puckline are standard 1.5-run/goal spreads. The favorite lays −1.5 and the underdog takes +1.5; only the price moves.